_ms_izzy
Sub Stack / 🔑substack
After 4/12/2026 12:00 AM
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he’s making our community look so bad
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Neutral (Most Likely Early Week)
Range between:
6788 ↔ 6888
Pin behavior near:
6846–6871
Bull Case
Hold 6846–6858
Break 6871 → 6881 → 6888
Target:
6920 → 6932 → 6970+ 4
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Bull Case
Hold 6846–6858
Break 6871 → 6881 → 6888
Target:
6920 → 6932 → 6970+
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-6914 -6917 -6922 -6928-6932 6938-6941 (75% retrace → back into channel) —> this area is also extremely calculated from 32 point intervals off 6899-6906. This returns ES to the “nesting / safe channel”
Key Levels You Focused On
Overhead / restructure
6967–6975 (you called this extremely calculated and linked it to overnight stalling + open/close logic)
6988 (major reclaim/offset level)
6999–7000 (bigger reclaim that improves odds of channel sustain)
You also referenced upside “next overhead” behavior around 6998–7002 and that stronger continuation odds come only after reclaiming those.
Support / downside risk band (for today + week)
Based on the open, you immediately framed support as ~6914–6916–6918–6920
You reiterated the importance of 6921–6924 holding (bull-neutral hold)
“Better” support behavior would be holding closer to 6928–6930/6932, but 6920s holding still kept some bull odds alive given where we started.
Core Logic You Taught (the “why”)
The day’s action was calculated compression: market left room on both sides (didn’t go low enough to break down, didn’t go high enough to trend) → this is what creates sideways / two-directional behavior.
You tied that directly to event timing: CPI is later in the week → it’s common to stay zone/channel bound and compress in the days before a catalyst.
Important nuance you drilled:
A “bear zone stall” isn’t automatically bearish.
If it’s occurring at calculated levels, it can be structured / planned, not “bearish intent.”
Range / “Pinnable” Close Concept
You measured the larger working range at about ~129 pts, highlighting the half-range ~64–66 pts as a common “pin” behavior.
You pointed to a pinnable / calculated close zone around ~6976–6979–6978 (area) because it’s consistent with:
half-range math,
and the remaining downside risk still being “affordable.”
Overnight / Next-Step Conditions You Gave
A close around the ~6976–6979 area keeps 6917–6920 risk alive (possible retest/backtest).
To offset that downside risk more cleanly, you said the market would need to:
reclaim 6988, and ideally
get back over 6999–7000 for stronger channel sustain odds.
You also suggested the “safer path” may be:
digest core ranges (around the 78/81 area you mentioned as not fully digested),
then reattempt upside after digestion.
If digestion holds and then we lift, you floated that 7011–7014 type behavior could improve odds of avoiding the lower channel and make 6949–6952–6958 act as stronger weekly supports. -6914 -6917 -6922 -6928-6932 6938-6941 (75% retrace → back into channel) —> this area is also extremely calculated from 32 point intervals off 6899-6906. This returns ES to the “nesting / safe channel” 1
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3 1 1 weird day feeling really sad today https://x.com/gabbar0099/status/2042583951471186057?s=46
One of the most widely shared videos worldwide.
Israel did this.
3 feeling really sad today https://x.com/gabbar0099/status/2042583951471186057?s=46 1 2 2
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genes to original Canaanite’s and Phoenician’s
BREAKING: ISRAEL bombed the mausoleum of Simon Peter, an apostle of Christ, to ruins
The ancient shrine is believed to hold the burial place of Saint Peter, apostle of Jesus Christ — in Southern Lebanon
This marks the second time Israel has bombed the shrine, which
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Chtaura, Lebanon
Explore Lebanon:t https://t.co/h9dTS0cYWb
Located in the Bekaa Valley, the town of Chtaura is widely considered the dairy capital of Lebanon. At the heart of it is Masabki Dairy, a local institution where Uncle Elias has
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“Level broke = trend changed”
“Level broke… but where are we inside the structure?”
extend to upper core ranges near 6878-6881-6884 — we extended to 6888 and broke into the zone on the 13th
Clearing 6881-6884 by the 14th gives the highest odds of entering the zone at 6888 keeps 6906-6910-6918-6922 areas in play for the week (odds reduced if we stall by the 14th/15th - odds extend and expand if met) - odds as early as the 13th to achieve 6920’s, we met 6925-6928 and even pinned core ranges
Bull Case
Hold 6846–6858
Break 6871 → 6881 → 6888
Target:
6920 → 6932 → 6970+
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’s post.
I hope yall have been killing it!
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JUST IN: Thousands of bees have suddenly swarmed several regions in Israel. Authorities have issued a "stay at home" warning for residents.
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Trump: Iran talks could be happening over next two days in pakistan - NY Post
